Forecasting and risk taking
This research project is investigating the relationship between the accuracy of judgmental forecasting and risk-taking behaviour. Your participation is entirely voluntary and all responses will be treated in the strictest confidence.
The experiment has two separate parts followed by a short questionnaire at the end.
In the first part you will be asked to choose which of five forecasts you think will be most useful for a decision maker. The instructions will be presented after you start the experiment.
In the second part you will be asked to make a choice between different investment options. This is designed to assess your attitude to risk.
The exit questionnaire consists of 9 questions, which are intended to assess your style of thinking when you encounter uncertainty about the future.
- To what extent is risk-taking behaviour associated with performance in judgmental forecasting?
- How do different ways of thinking about uncertainty impact on performance in judgmental forecasting?
Thank you in advance for your participation!