Cognitive abilities versus forecasting capabilities

Welcome to the study of cognitive abilities and Judgmental forecasting. The current study includes two separate experiments.

The purpose of the first experiment is to assess your forecasting accuracy, in other words how good you are in predicting the course of a time series.  There are detailed instructions and training rounds in the task, so do not be worried at all if…

Direct rolling training for improving judgmental time series forecasting performance

Research Objectives/Research Questions

This study examines the effectiveness of using a rolling training approach to improve the accuracy of such forecasts.
A direct training scheme will enable forecasters to better understand the underlying pattern of the data by learning directly from their forecast errors.
Such a scheme will drive the forecaster to focus on each series and its patterns separately, thus increasing forecasting…